Friday, March 12, 2010

Can Nancy Pelosi Get the Votes? Maybe Not.

Intrade odds fall below 50% today for Obamacare to pass by June.

Michael Barone
in the WSJ:

"Are there enough votes in the House to pass the Senate's health-care bill? As of today, it's clear there aren't. Speaker Nancy Pelosi has indeed shown mastery at amassing majorities. But it's hard to see how she'll do so on this one. The arithmetic as I see it doesn't add up."

5 Comments:

At 3/12/2010 4:55 PM, Blogger KJ said...

Maybe she can - Intrade odds have spiked back up to 60% given late day news...uggh!

 
At 3/12/2010 7:29 PM, Blogger OA said...

I think she can. In fact it's mind boggling that many of the holdouts are doing so because they want a more extreme bill like single payer, or with the public option.

Other holdouts are just trying to keep their seats. I really think enough will cave and end up with some reward like a political appointment.

I hope Olympia Snowe gets booted out. She let the Senate bill slip through, leaving this way out. If that hadn't been passed no one would even be talking about this.

 
At 3/13/2010 11:04 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yes, the bill will pass the House. The Dem's have proven their ability and willingness to do whatever is necessary to buy the last few votes needed. There are no moderate or conservative democrats; when absolutely needed, their votes can be bought (proven to be true in the Senate last fall/winter and will be proven true in the House this coming week).

 
At 3/13/2010 11:21 AM, Blogger juandos said...

"The Dem's have proven their ability and willingness to do whatever is necessary to buy the last few votes needed"...

Having a super majority in both Houses of Congress for more than a year makes one wonder just how much ability there is at work there...

Still I understand your point...

Then again the Iowa Hawk has something to address your viewpoint...

 
At 3/16/2010 12:07 PM, Anonymous Kevin said...

Now up to 75% arggghhhh

 

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