CARPE DIEM
Professor Mark J. Perry's Blog for Economics and Finance
Monday, August 24, 2009
About Me
- Name: Mark J. Perry
- Location: Washington, D.C., United States
Dr. Mark J. Perry is a professor of economics and finance in the School of Management at the Flint campus of the University of Michigan. Perry holds two graduate degrees in economics (M.A. and Ph.D.) from George Mason University near Washington, D.C. In addition, he holds an MBA degree in finance from the Curtis L. Carlson School of Management at the University of Minnesota. In addition to a faculty appointment at the University of Michigan-Flint, Perry is also a visiting scholar at The American Enterprise Institute in Washington, D.C.
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13 Comments:
Obama = Epic Fail
Lets be honest ask Rasmussen to take out the South and show the numbers...bet you they are drastically different....
"Lets be honest ask Rasmussen to take out the South and show the numbers"...
Hmmm, are you implying that somehow taking out the, 'South' however that's defined today would somehow bolster Obama's ratings?
It couldn't be as George Will writes about is Obama's obvious statist leanings, right?
Costas Panagopoulos, Ph.D. (Department of Political Science - Fordham University
) BTW according Poll Accuracy in the 2008 Presidential Election
Note the following regarding Rasmussen's polling accuracy: 'Pre-election projections for two organizations’ final polls — Rasmussen and Pew — were perfectly in agreement with the actual election result'...
So maybe just maybe Rasmussen does have a clue and his finger might pretty much feeling the pulse of America as a whole...
The only problem with the last image is that 43 should be sinking about as much as 44...
Why take out the South? Do they not get a vote? This is about as dumb as Byron York's statement that Obama's support is overstated due to his 90+ approval from black voters.
I believe Rasmussen is very good and I don't want it to be this way but I am very sure the Republicans
are too regionalized.Look at exit polls and any other Polls that have
a geographic breakdown....
I believe Rasmussen is very good and I don't want it to be this way but I am very sure the Republicans
are too regionalized.Look at exit polls and any other Polls that have
a geographic breakdown....
Interesting brodero that you pick up on the exit polling...
I was reading colin's comment about Byron York and it made me wonder if York actually had made a mistake or if colin had...
David Paul Kuhn writing in the Politico had this article: Exit polls: How Obama won...
The Illinois senator won 43 percent of white voters, 4 percentage points below Carter’s performance in 1976 and equal to what Bill Clinton won in the three-man race of 1996. Republican John McCain won 55 percent of the white vote.
Fully 96 percent of black voters supported Obama and constituted 13 percent of the electorate, a 2-percentage-point rise in their national turnout. As in past years, black women turned out at a higher rate than black men....
brodero the Republicans continued to disappoint real conservatives and that's not regional but country wide...
The Republicans ending up with McCain on the ballot was something that kept many conservatives from voting for McCain though they didn't vote for Obama either...
Regarding York and colin's assessment, well maybe York wasn't so wrong after all...
Lets be honest ask Rasmussen to take out the South and show the numbers...bet you they are drastically different....
Let's ask them to take out the metrosexuals and watch Obama's poll numbers fade into nonexistence.
You can get mad all you want...I
am just pointing out you need to lead in two of the four sections of the country....
Slanted Rassmussen polling?
Please.
'Slanted sethstorm commenting?'...
Oh never!
"I am just pointing out you need to lead in two of the four sections of the country"...
Hey brodero, are you talking geographically or politically?
Gallup has fairly detailed demographic data. Rasmussen doesn't break into regions on their website, just parties, age groups, gender, income, etc. Full data download available at the Gallup site, not just the latest weeks. Look for the link.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/121199/Obama-Weekly-Job-Approval-Demographic-Groups.aspx
Since inauguration, the trends are all regions down with the lowest decline in the west. The south declined the most, the east the 2nd most.
The South hit 50% approval at the beginning of August and is now 46%, Midwest is almost there now at 52%. East and West are 56% and 57% now.
The regions were basically around even through mid-May. Then they all turn down. You can see it roughly coincides with the "strongly disapprove" starting to change.
Mid-May was around the time of Nancy Pelosi claiming the CIA lied/lies. And the Sotomayor nomination.
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