Saturday, October 22, 2011

Dead Heat: Obama vs. Any Republican Candidate

Current Intrade odds for the 2012 election: Obama (48.6%) vs. any Republican candidate (48.7%), basically a "dead heat" (see chart).   

For other Intrade contracts: Bachmann is down to 1.2% (from 18% in July), Gingrich is up to 3% (from 1% a month ago), Herman Cain is steady at 7-8% for the last month, Perry is steady at 15% for the last 10 days but down from 35% a month ago, and Romney is still the front-runner holding steady at 67% and up from 35% a month ago.  

6 Comments:

At 10/22/2011 9:01 AM, OpenID moneyjihad said...

Pres. Obama has plenty of time. He's a strong campaigner. The media are on his side. It'll be tough to unseat him.

 
At 10/22/2011 9:13 AM, Blogger Rufus II said...

He's, also, on the right side of a lot of issues (at least, as far as the Public is concerned.)

 
At 10/22/2011 10:17 AM, Blogger rjs said...

rufus has that right...obama is on the Right side of a lot of issues...

& thats why the left is staying home in 2012...

 
At 10/22/2011 1:27 PM, Blogger juandos said...

"He's, also, on the right side of a lot of issues (at least, as far as the Public is concerned.)"...

Which public is supporting the Kenyan Kommie Klown rufus and what are those alledged issues?

 
At 10/22/2011 9:39 PM, Blogger Hydra said...

Apparently the any candidate means any candidate other than the ones we have.

 
At 10/24/2011 12:38 PM, Blogger Ron H. said...

"Apparently the any candidate means any candidate other than the ones we have."

No, any candidate means any candidate. A candidate only needs to run as "NotObama" to be a contender.

I can see the signs waving now: "Our Candidate _____________(fill in the blank) is NOTOBAMA".

 

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