Saturday, July 31, 2010

The Gradual Decline in Presidential Approval

The chart above displays the consensus of presidential approval/disapproval polls from Pollster, showing a new record -5% gap between average approval of 45.1% and an average disapproval of 50.1%. 


At 7/31/2010 9:50 AM, Blogger Paul said...

Que Benji to weigh in with irrelevant blathering about farm subsidies or the military.

At 7/31/2010 10:39 AM, Blogger juandos said...

Hmmm, who is Pollster pimping for here?

From Rasmussen Reports dated Saturday, July 31, 2010: 'daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows that 25% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-five percent (45%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -20'...

At 7/31/2010 11:24 AM, Blogger morganovich said...


in fairness, this poll (45% approve) is awfully close to the rassmussen version (44%).

what's interesting is how much earlier rassmussen got this level and how, once again, the other polls have converged to them, demonstrating once again that they are the most accurate (as in the last 2 elections) and that they have the most predictive value.

i'm sure that the vilification of them will continue as daily kos et all make up their own polling numbers, but at the end of the day, rassmussen turns out to be right far more often than anyone else.

the rassmussen data does have one interesting implication:

if 44% approve, but only 25% strongly vs 56% disapprove with 45% strongly, it's clear where the strong sentiment is. generally, if your strongly disapproves outweigh your overall approval, you are in pretty deep trouble.

At 7/31/2010 11:27 AM, Blogger juandos said...

Good call morganovich!

Excellent explanation also...



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