Saturday, October 11, 2008

More Than 3:1 Odds for Obama on Intrade

Intrade Odds: 77% for Obama, 23.5% for McCain.

7 Comments:

At 10/11/2008 5:07 PM, Blogger Vijay said...

Welcome to the second New Deal!

 
At 10/11/2008 10:24 PM, Anonymous Alex said...

McCain lost me when he didn't stand up against the bailout. Not only would it have been the right thing to do, but it would have also been the perfect opportunity to link Obama to a truly bad Bush economic policy, and stand on the side supported by a majority of the American people. Instead, he caved, and then worse, failed to give any coherent explaination as to why.

And no, Obama didn't gain my vote either.

 
At 10/12/2008 12:35 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Could it be that intrade has a magnifying effect? Such as, the more people that vote obama influences the people that haven't voted yet? Could it be a snowball effect? Just a thought.

 
At 10/12/2008 12:52 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

didn't the crude oil at $150 contract trade at similar levels this July past?

and are not most online bettors a bunch of flaming libs?

 
At 10/12/2008 8:36 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

AnonyMous writes...
"and are not most online bettors a bunch of flaming libs?"

***********************

You have obviously never to been to a horse race or know anything about sports gambling. Most gamblers are the Joe Six-Pack crowd.

 
At 10/12/2008 12:29 PM, Anonymous qt said...

Anon.

Personally, I doubt that theory. A lot of these folks are likely younger voters, the demographic that Obama scores well with.

Not saying McCain is doing well. He has stumbling badly while Obama appears calm, confident, and relaxed. The very diffidence of Obama has become an advantage.

Looks very much like McCain would need a miracle and it doesn't look like Russia with its stock market in the dumpster will be invading any country prior to Nov.

 
At 10/12/2008 3:32 PM, Blogger bobble said...

i don't put much stock (pun not intended) in intrade.

i find realclearpolitics.com is a far better source of how the candidates are doing. it computes averages of all the major polls and publishes the results in easy to comprehend format.

you folks here on CD should enjoy it, it leans moderately to the right.

check it out!

 

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