Top Oscar Picks from Actual Betting on Intrade

From Intrade, the top picks for Ocscars and odds:

Best Director: Martin Scorsese 90%
Best Supporting Actor: Eddie Murphy 60%
Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Hudson 81%
Best Actress: Helen Mirren 94%
Bestor Actor: Forest Whitaker 82%
Best Picture: The Departed 47%

Other contracts:
Hillary Clinton to be Democratic nominee, about 50%
Hillary Clinton to be President, 2008: about 28%

Chance of U.S. economy in recession 2007: 16.5%