Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Odds for Health Care Reform Fall From 50% to 7%

Intrade odds for the contract "Health Care Reform - Will a federal government run health insurance plan (a public option) be approved in the US?" (by December 2009) have fallen to 7.1%, from almost 50% in August (see chart above, click to enlarge).


At 10/27/2009 11:35 AM, Blogger W.E. Heasley said...

The “Public Option” within Health Insurance Reform (aka Health Care Reform) has Intrade odds which have dropped from 50% (August) to 7.1% (Current)? Wow!

Wonder what the Intrade Odds are of the White House discontinuing the use of the phrase “jobs saved or created” now that the real unemployment rate is north of 16%?

At 10/27/2009 11:48 AM, Blogger Angie said...

I really detest her, but I wouldn't underestimate the power of Pelosi. She's certainly not above doling out billions in bribes.

At 10/27/2009 1:26 PM, Blogger KO said...

A triggered plan does not qualify under this contract so 7% seems way too high. But I guess it's a better bet than many in Vegas.

At this point the media should be asking, "what exactly are we trying to do with this bill?" Along with, "does it accomplish any of those goals?" And finally, "in light of what it does accomplish, does the price tag seem reasonable?"


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