Sunday, September 13, 2009

Intrade Odds for Obamacare Fall From 40% to 15%

In a little more than two weeks, the Intrade odds for the contract "A federal government run health insurance plan to be approved before Dec 31, 2009" have fallen to 15%, down from 30% odds only about a week ago, and down from 45% a little more than two weeks ago (see chart above).


At 9/13/2009 8:50 PM, Anonymous Steve said...

I was not aware of these odd makers but I like their recent reading on the health care bill.

At 9/13/2009 9:36 PM, Blogger KO said...

A more interesting contract would be on the passage of universal coverage. And a related contract on a Constitutional challenge should one be passed.

For the contract they do have, a Co-op or a trigger do not count. It has to be an alternative to private insurance.


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