Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Falling Odds for Ben, Rising Odds for Pos. Q3 GDP

Falling Intrade odds for Bernanke's reappointment as Fed chair, from 75% to 60% in 17 days:


Rising Intrade odds for positive U.S. real GDP growth in Q3, from 25% to 50% in 115 days:


4 Comments:

At 6/24/2009 11:01 AM, Anonymous Benny C.P. said...

I can't imagine Ben Bernanke not being reappointed. Who else?

 
At 6/24/2009 1:41 PM, Anonymous Αμάτι Nώνυμος said...

Easy to read his mind

If he begins hiking rates after his second coronation, he enjoys his job. If he raises rates before the re-coronation, he is trying to get fired without his wife getting wise.

 
At 6/24/2009 4:32 PM, Blogger Devin Snead said...

"I can't imagine Ben Bernanke not being reappointed. Who else?"

To me, it looks like Larry Summers will probably get the job.

 
At 6/24/2009 6:49 PM, Blogger Robert Miller said...

This comment has been removed by the author.

 

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