Thursday, April 09, 2009

Current Intrade Odds

GM to announce before Dec. 31, 2009 it will file for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy: 74.3%

Tim Geithner to depart as Secretary of the Treasury before June 30, 2009: 11.2%

Advance GDP figure for Q1 2009 to be -4.0% or worse: 83%

US GDP growth for Q2 of 2009 will be positive: 10.1%

US GDP growth for Q3 of 2009 will be positive: 32%

US GDP growth for Q4 of 2009 will be positive: 50%

US GDP growth for Q1 of 2010 will be positive: 73%

US Unemployment Rate Dec 2009 greater than 10.0%: 61%

US Unemployment Rate Dec 2009 greater than 10.5%: 45%

US Unemployment Rate Dec 2009 greater than 11%: 35%

US Unemployment Rate Dec 2009 greater than 11.5%: 10%

Source: Intrade.com

3 Comments:

At 4/09/2009 10:48 AM, Blogger ExtremeHobo said...

That site looks like tons of fun. Too bad its so hard to put money on there...

 
At 4/09/2009 3:30 PM, Blogger OA said...

Doesn't look that hard per the info in the "Fees" link way at the bottom.

Check out the founder's last blog on the lady who's account has gone from "$50 to $46,562" in 2 years. No additions, just net gains.

How do you report that for taxes? 1 contract short Al Gore President, cap gain $50.

 
At 4/09/2009 4:41 PM, Blogger ExtremeHobo said...

Shhhh you dont, I dont think an Irish company would report any earnings you have to Uncle Sam.

That lady must be Miss Cleo

 

Post a Comment

Links to this post:

Create a Link

<< Home