Professor Mark J. Perry's Blog for Economics and Finance
Oil for delivery in December 2015 is trading on the NYMEX for $88.33 per barrel. Assuming a 3% average annual inflation rate over the next 8 years, that means that oil in 2015 is trading for only $69.72 per barrel in today's dollars.
Dr. Mark J. Perry is a professor of economics and finance in the School of Management at the Flint campus of the University of Michigan. Perry holds two graduate degrees in economics (M.A. and Ph.D.) from George Mason University near Washington, D.C. In addition, he holds an MBA degree in finance from the Curtis L. Carlson School of Management at the University of Minnesota. In addition to a faculty appointment at the University of Michigan-Flint, Perry is also a visiting scholar at The American Enterprise Institute in Washington, D.C.
2 Comments:
What was your risk free interest rate and cost of carry for this calculation?
Maybe the traders have seen this YouTube video from Vertigro Energy about making biofuel from algae.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lvb53l_Nfys
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