Thursday, January 31, 2008

CLINTON vs. McCAIN?

Current Odds on Intrade.com

Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008
McCain: 83.5%
Romney: 11.6%

Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008
Clinton: 60.0%
Obama: 37.1%

To Win 2008 US Presidential Election
Clinton: 35.2%
McCain: 34.6%

15 Comments:

At 1/31/2008 10:48 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Either way were doomed.

 
At 2/01/2008 12:24 AM, Anonymous Fred said...

Write in Fred Thompson.

 
At 2/01/2008 8:38 AM, Anonymous Machiavelli999 said...

First of all, why da hell would I ever write in Fred Thompson. So, he can spend his days sleeping in the Oval Office like he did throughout this campaign.

Second of all, we are not doomed. In the end we have a center-right candidate versus a center-left candidate. Pretty much the same matchup we always have. I like McCain because he will cut spending, cut taxes, be strong on the war and will not bow down to our enemies like Bush does everytime he goes to the his best friends the Saudis to beg for oil.

I do not support Hillary, but she is FAR from a liberal wacko. She is essentially a moderate Democrat. Don't listen to what she says in the campaigns, she will say anything to win. What she will actually do is raise taxes by letting Bush's tax cuts expire. Bad, but not world ending. She will not pull us out of Iraq. She might actually provide better foreign policy leadership than even McCain can. She will try to push through universal healthcare and fail. And she might actually work with Republicans to provide real social security reform.

Ultimately, neither candidate will create huge reversals of US policy like many fear.

 
At 2/01/2008 9:31 AM, Anonymous Kevin said...

McCain has stumbled once badly and will do so again...look for some surprises on Super Tuesday. Romney will do better than the pundits expect and Huckabee will win some states and more delegates so McCain is unlikely to have a majority.

Anne Coulter recently said that she would vote for Hillary over McCain...this kind of commentary is going to hurt McCain.

 
At 2/01/2008 10:05 AM, Anonymous Machiavelli999 said...

I doubt it Kevin. The Republican primaries on Super Tuesday are setup to favor the front-runner. McCain will take New York for sure. Romney's last stand has to come in California where he is not trailing by that much. But even there his chances of winning are small, especially with Schwartzeneger's endorsement. So, I find it hard to see how Romney can stop McCain if McCain wins both New York and California. The numbers just don't add up.

 
At 2/01/2008 10:22 AM, Anonymous Kevin said...

Mach - It's all about total numbers of delegates. CA is NOT a winner take all state so Romney will collect plenty of delegates there. And it's not just about NY and CA. If you go through state by state, you will see that McCain is highly unlikely to have a majority of delegates after Super Tuesday.

 
At 2/01/2008 10:37 AM, Anonymous Machiavelli999 said...

True kevin, California is not a take all. And that is a plus for Romney. But there is yet ANOTHER obstacle for Romney and his name is Mike Huckabee.

If Huckabee was to drop out, McCain would still be far from a sure thing. But Huckabee is still in and he will pull many many would be Romney voters away. Specifically, the Christian right.

I am loving the irony though. McCain has always had a testy relationship with the Christian right and this year they will help him win the nomination. I love it.

For far too long has the lunatic Christian right distracted the Republican party from what they should be fighting for (low spending & low taxes). That will happen with John McCain as President.

 
At 2/01/2008 11:02 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Maybe Ann Coulter is saying she would vote for Hillary over John McCain in order to help McCain. I mean, really, who wants that crazy chick's endorsement? And I say this as a Republican and McCain supporter.

 
At 2/01/2008 11:58 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ain't no way Coulter's comment could possibly help McCain my friend.

Also, it's offensive to say the lunatic Christian right.

 
At 2/01/2008 12:49 PM, Anonymous Machiavelli999 said...

anonymous 11:58,

First of all, I don't care that its offensive. Fortunately the LUNATIC CHRISTIAN RIGHT hasn't gotten around to regulating comment threads on blogs.

Second of all, they are lunatics because they are all voting for Mike Huckabee who is essentially a Democrat who goes to church and is against abortion. It shows that they don't even care about issues like free trade, low taxes and low spending.

Gay marriage and abortion are 1 and 2 on their list of issues. There is no number 3.

This election they have been marginalized and are basically irrelevant unless there is a 3rd party candidacy.

 
At 2/01/2008 10:48 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Ain't no way Coulter's comment could possibly help McCain my friend."

Wow - didn't expect the condescension but ok.

In any case, there are those of us who consider ourselves "born again" Christians who don't feel the need to flock behind the ultra-conservative pundits and who think Anne Coulter is off of her rocker----"my friend." Thus, my "tongue-in-cheek" statement that her endorsement of Hillary was really a boon for McCain.

And I will say that, as a conservative and a Republican, Anne Coulter's denouncement of John McCain has put me more firmly in his corner.

 
At 2/01/2008 11:34 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Anne Coulter? Pundit endorsements carry about as much weight with delegates as a recommendation from Dr. Phil or Oprah. If you are looking at endorsements, Paul Volker carries a lot more weight. Who is Edmund Phelps supporting?

Would you support a candidate on your faith in someone else's opinion any more than you would select your next husband on the basis of his popularity at work?

Hey, maybe you would like to buy my timeshare too.

 
At 2/02/2008 12:04 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ann Coulter demonstrates the truth of the phrase:

Empty cans make the most noise

Perhaps, there are those enjoy biting sarcasm or agree with her view that the theory of evolution is "bogus science". Perhaps, blowhards are charming and amusing to some, possibly their mothers.

Railing at your opponents is not in either the best tradition of conservatism, literature, or rhetoric. There is no wit in hatred nor insight in invective.

What a contrast to Milton Friedman, a brilliant economist who could debate anyone with courtesy, wit, and unrivaled logic. Ann Coulter is just a dog with a bone.

 
At 2/02/2008 12:12 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The interesting thing about people who are outrageous like Ann Coulter is that very often they lack personal boundaries. I have a sister who has pretty much the same kind of over-the-top, kick every can in town way of expressing herself. She would think that Ann Coulter saying that terrorists should have blown up the NY Times office hilarious satire.

Many children grow up with sarcastic put-downs dressed up as humor and think this type of exchange will be acceptable to others. They honestly do not understand why they put people off or offend with what they see as candor, verbal acrobatics and irreverance. They don't recognize when they cross the line.

Ann Coulter thinks she is being witty and intelligent rather than creating a caricature of conservative bias. The public is free to choose what they wish to read.

 
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