Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Hillary and Rudy Have 2:1 Leads in Futures Trading

The chart above (click to enlarge) displays futures trading on Intrade.com for the most traded contracts. The most current trading indicates that Hillary is about a 2:1 favorite over Obama (61% to 31% chance of being the Democratic nominee), and Giuliani has more than 2:1 lead over Romney (40.2% vs. 18.6% chance of being the Republican nominee), based on hundreds of thousands of outstanding contracts.

2 Comments:

At 12/11/2007 9:14 PM, Anonymous holymoly said...

I guess that means it's time to short Hillary and Rudy.

P.S. IXBK - down 4.27% today, but I didn't make any money shorting it because you've quite touting the bank stocks lately. Thanks for nothing.

 
At 12/11/2007 10:53 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It's rumored that George Soros loves to play games with Intrade. Volume is so thin, he can manipulate the figures for practically nothing. Great sport.

 

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