Professor Mark J. Perry's Blog for Economics and Finance
Hillary Clinton's falling chances of becoming president in 2008:
Fred Thompson's rising chances to be the Republican candidate:
Graphs above are based on actual political futures contracts trading in the "Prediction Market" at Intrade.com in Ireland, during the last 30 days.
Intrade currently offers about 100 futures contracts for the 2008 elections in the U.S.
Dr. Mark J. Perry is a professor of economics and finance in the School of Management at the Flint campus of the University of Michigan. Perry holds two graduate degrees in economics (M.A. and Ph.D.) from George Mason University near Washington, D.C. In addition, he holds an MBA degree in finance from the Curtis L. Carlson School of Management at the University of Minnesota. In addition to a faculty appointment at the University of Michigan-Flint, Perry is also a visiting scholar at The American Enterprise Institute in Washington, D.C.
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