Friday, October 08, 2010

Odds for Dems to Control Senate Slip Below 50%

Intrade link. 

Update: Odds now down to 46%.


At 10/08/2010 1:14 PM, Blogger juandos said...

Gee! I wonder if these numbers from Rasmussen Reports polling is helping drive that change over at intrade?

Tea Party Participation Up As Election Nears

Friday, October 08, 2010

At 10/08/2010 2:05 PM, Blogger Marc Poitras said...

Actually, the find print at Intrade indicates that, for purposes of the contract, Independent senators (Sanders, maybe Lieberman) do not count. Intrade therefore defines 'control' as requiring one or two more seats than the Dems need for actual control.


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