Saturday, October 23, 2010

Intrade Updates

1. Republicans to control House: 90%

2. Republicans to gain 60 or more House seats: 39%

3. Democrats to control Senate: 56.6%

4. Republicans to hold 48 or more Senate seats: 75%

5. Michael Steele to depart as RNC chair before Dec. 31: 7.5%

6. Sarah Palin to announce run for President before Dec. 31: 67%

7. Barbara Boxer to win Senate in CA: 72.7%

8. Harry Reid to win Senate in NV: 40%

9. Jerry Brown to win governor in CA: 96%

10. Democrats to win 2012 Presidential election: 61% 

As of 9:30 a.m. on


At 10/23/2010 12:11 PM, Blogger Tim Worstall said...

Jerry Brown?

So F Scott Fitzgeralrd was wrong then, there are second acts in American lives?

At 10/23/2010 2:04 PM, Blogger PeakTrader said...

I didn't see a moderate Democrat in Congress for about two years. Then suddenly, they're all over the place, just before (rather than after) the election.

At 10/24/2010 9:48 AM, Blogger juandos said...

Here's a site we've seen before and now consider its contents:

2010 Senate Race Forecast

Net pickup: +9 (R)

2010 Congress - House Seats

Republican gain: 55 seats

In both postings the data from intrade was used...


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