Thursday, February 14, 2008

Trade Deficit Down, QIV GDP May Double to 1.1%

NEW YORK ( -- The gap between the nation's imports and exports narrowed in December, according to a government report today, leaving the gap for the year sharply lower and ending a five-year streak of record annual trade deficits (see chart above).

A weak dollar during the year lifted exports, which allowed the 2007 trade gap to narrow by 6.2% to $711.6 billion, even as imports continued to increase due to the record price for oil imports during the year.

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, said that the smaller December trade deficit will help to boost overall economic growth from the final three months of last year from the initial estimate of a mere 0.6% expansion. He predicted trade and a better reading on inventory stockpiles would boost growth in the gross domestic product to 1.1% when the figure gets revised later this month.


At 2/14/2008 10:21 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Well, that puts to rest the notion that we entered recession last quarter. Some were expecting the GDP number to be revised lower.

At 2/14/2008 10:22 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

i am new to dr. perry's blog. i discovered it through seeking alpha.given the trade deficit #'s this a.m., the current acct deficit as % gdp should probably come in around 5%. what's the consensus for 2008 and 2009 ? i've read that some are looking for a number in the low 4's. why isn't the buck responding yet, as theoratically it should ?


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