For example, a $100,000 mortgage would be the equivalent of SF118,430 at the current ex-rate of SF1.1843/$. Foreign mortgages require quarterly payments, in this case SF1,788.60 per quarter (at 4.43%) or $1,510.26, at the current ex-rate. (Quarterly payments at 6.24% on a regular mortgage would be $1,848.46.)
The one-year forward rate for the SF is SF1.1613/$, meaning that the dollar is selling at a one-year forward discount of almost 2%. If the actual ex-rate in one year is close to the one-year forward rate, your quarterly payments would stay the same in SFs, but would increase to $1,540.17 in USD, a 2% increase. Like the interest rate risk on an adjustable rate mortgage, you'd now have currency risk, and your dollar payments would fluctuate on a foreign mortgage, depending on the appreciation (lower USD payments) or depreciation (higher USD payments) of the dollar.
On the upside, if the dollar ever got back up to about SF1.78/$ like in 2001, your quarterly payments in dollars would drop to $1,000.
Read more here in the WSJ.
Bring on the gamblers...these foreign currency mortgages should do well in Las Vegas.
ReplyDeleteSeems like it would bring a whole new meaning to first payment defaults too.