Thursday, November 10, 2011

Odds for Perry Plummet on Intrade to 4.3%

Intrade odds for Rick Perry to be the Republican nominee fell from 10% a few days ago to 4.3% today. 


At 11/10/2011 8:28 AM, Blogger PFCT said...

Not Presidential material. I wonder if he has alzheimers given the multiple times now he literally is at a loss for words

At 11/10/2011 8:41 AM, Blogger Junkyard_hawg1985 said...

My preference at the current time is to have the Republican convention pick a candidate because none of the declared candidates get a majority of delegates. This way they could chose Mike Huckabee, Chris Christie, David Petraeus, or Mitch Daniels.

At 11/10/2011 8:47 AM, Blogger geoih said...

Who has never had a brain cramp like this before? If he's losing his supporters because of something like this, then his support was weak in the first place.

At 11/10/2011 8:51 AM, Blogger Frozen in the North said...

Perry's performance was so cringe worthy I had to stop watching -- it was unbearable to watch a guy implode that way, especially on an unforced error

At 11/10/2011 9:27 AM, Blogger Cabodog said...

It just proves he's human. However, I'm convinced politicians are not human.

At 11/10/2011 10:08 AM, Blogger Paul said...

He's awful at debates, but he'd still be a thousand times better than Obama. I guarantee Rick Perry doesn't think ATM's cause unemployment.

At 11/10/2011 11:00 AM, Blogger morganovich said...

this just goes to prove the old axiom:

you do not win the presidency in the debates, but you can sure lose it.

At 11/10/2011 11:03 AM, Blogger morganovich said...

as an aside, i think the that astounding length of the campaigning season causes real problems in terms of ultimate candidate selection.

18-20 months of constantly stumping is a long, long time. anyone who speaks plainly and or has complex ideas will wind up saying something stupid in that period. we all do it.

the "gotcha" attitude of the press makes this a severe liability for anyone who is trying to just tell it like they see it.

it favors the slick and the bland who speak in platitudes and vagaries. it makes the race about never saying anything, not about proposing real ideas with all their warts and flaws.

this, we get politico after politico with the same bland lies.


At 11/10/2011 11:55 AM, Blogger juandos said...

Well politics is a real motel foxtrot for sure...

I mean consider the present problems of Herman Cain and the observations of a long time politics watcher: Herman Cain has spent his life living and working all over the country -- Indiana, Georgia, Minnesota, Nebraska, Kansas, Washington, D.C. -- but never in Chicago.

So it's curious that all the sexual harassment allegations against Cain emanate from Chicago: home of the Daley machine and Obama consigliere David Axelrod

At 11/10/2011 1:05 PM, Blogger Benjamin said...

Perry is a bilious knave, so no loss here.

The GOP provides an essential national service: Incredible comedy. I wonder if Mutt & Jeff should enter the GOP race. After Abbot & Costello. Laurel & Hardy could be the next GOP ticket.

Which raises an important point (more important than anything said by GOP candidates): What happened to the "two guys who are funny" teams?

Speaking of funny duos, I was hoping for a Palin-Bachman ticket. Donald Trump where are you? Come back, please--this race obviously is wide open to any dunce who slaps a "Republican" stocker on his forehead.

Maybe Cain can pick as his veep Walter Williams.

At 11/10/2011 1:47 PM, Blogger jcarroll1948 said...

Rick Perry had a senior moment; who hasn't? Obama couldn't remember the age of one of his daughters not too long ago; does that make him unqualified for his current job? Perry is not my choice for the Repub nomination now, but also was not prior to last night's debate. He is a fine governor and human being, not such a great debater; that's all. If he wins the GOP nomination, which I doubt, I will vote for him in the general election.

At 11/10/2011 4:18 PM, Blogger Paul said...


"Obama couldn't remember the age of one of his daughters not too long ago.."

Obama doesn't even know what year it is. Yet he will always get a pass from cretins like Benji and the mainstream media.

At 11/10/2011 9:13 PM, OpenID Sprewell said...

Got sucked in again and watched the taped debate online, must say that this was the best one by far, even better than the foxnews one a couple months ago. I loved the interruptions and followup questions, which nobody else did in their debates, or at least the ones I saw. Allowing a politician to just answer a question without pressing him on giving an actual answer to the question or interrupting him when he just goes off in a random direction is just a waste of time, yet that is what most of these debate moderators do. Leave it to the business press at CNBC to bring some real value to a debate. Romney was impressive as usual: his ability to flip-flop on almost every issue yet parry all questions and remain likeable is why he is the front-runner, no matter what anyone says about Cain's polling. I have no idea what Mitt will actually do in office: I could see him vetoing Cut, Cap, and Balance from a Republican congress because it cuts Medicare and he said he wouldn't cut it, I could see him going along.

The only two candidates I think can beat him are Bachmann and Huntsman, but both would have to make up some serious ground, likely by winning Iowa or New Hampshire. Perry is the biggest surprise of these debates to me. I thought of him as just some Texas cowboy before these debates, but he comes across as extremely likeable and well-meaning when you see him in person. Unfortunately, it seems like he's coached up on all these policy issues, like the second Bush supposedly was, so if he can't remember what he was told to say, he's fucked. Nobody who's steeped in these issues would ever "forget" a major federal department you want to shutter, unless someone just gave you a list of three depts as a talking point. It doesn't even matter that he forgot, it's that he couldn't even recover it after 5-10 seconds. Gingrich and perhaps even Cain aren't even in this to win it, probably more to sell books and get a bigger radio gig. Santorum and Paul cannot ever possibly win the Republican nomination, but I'm not sure they realize it.


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