Saturday, September 24, 2011

Intrade Odds: Almost a 20 Point Lead for Romney

Latest odds from Intrade for Republican nominee for president. 

19 Comments:

At 9/24/2011 8:42 AM, Blogger reprise8 said...

Well, here we go again - the Republicans select the guy who is "next in line". Dole and McCain said give their regards.

Not that I wouldn't support him - at this point a random name selected using a ouija board could not be any worse.

 
At 9/24/2011 9:11 AM, Blogger john_d said...

Ron Paul was willing to spend a million dollars to win the irrelevant California straw poll. I'm curious how much it would cost to buy the intrade market, and whether having a huge lead on intrade has a similar cost-benefit calculus to Ron Paul's purchase.

 
At 9/24/2011 9:14 AM, Blogger MM said...

Romney is competent, experienced and presidential. He possesses all of the qualities necessary for success. Unlike Obama who was underprepared and unqualified for the job, Mitt Romney is uniquely qualified and capable of being an outstanding president. No more on the job training in the Oval Office.

 
At 9/24/2011 9:46 AM, Blogger Larry G said...

the basic problem with the Republican party these days is that the core of the part is far, far to the right of many independent voters.

The base hates Romney... because he is too "moderate" but the realization is starting to sink in that if you want to beat Obama -you're going to need more than some right-wing ideologue...

what you're going to need to beat Obama is ...GASP! a RINO!

;-)

 
At 9/24/2011 9:47 AM, Blogger Crystalf said...

Great chart!! You might like to pinpoint / tag the date Perry enter the race & dates of the debates which would give some good information as to the reason for the rise of fall of the candidates. Being able to handle a wide range of issues in a stressful environment with calmness, thoughtfulness & dignity (and be able to last the entire 2 hours without zoning out) is actually a good indicator of being "Presidential." Thx!

 
At 9/24/2011 10:32 AM, Blogger PFCT said...

Reprise, you've got it wrong. The '08 primaries unfortunately happened BEFORE the financial crisis hit. Otherwise, Romney and Clinton would have been the nominees. Romney is the only candidate with tremendous private sector experience and success and gov't success and experience. Voters decide and no one else so wise up!

 
At 9/24/2011 10:58 AM, Blogger Buddy R Pacifico said...

"I'm curious how much it would cost to buy the intrade market..."

9/24/11; 8:40 am PDT:

4 shares offered @ $0.02 per on the Buy side, for Paul Ryan to be Republican nominee for President. I'm not sure this corners the market but it will make it a little more interesting.

President Ryan will look back on this and laugh.

 
At 9/24/2011 11:15 AM, Blogger reprise8 said...

PFCT - 1st, I don't have a problem with Romney. I think the Rep's can do better, but he'll do fine - a much better choice than either Dole or McCain were.

The most unfortunate thing about the primaries, it's starting to appear to me, is that it's not just "the voters" who decide, but specifically the voters in NH that set the ball rolling in a certain direction.

I'm all for either a single nat'l primary, or split it up into 5 blocs covering 10 weeks, with the states chosen at random. I haven't liked the excessive influence that NH voters have on the Rep candidate since, well, since I've been paying attention.

 
At 9/24/2011 1:13 PM, Blogger Bernie Ecch said...

Republicans are determined to nominate someone who can lose to Obama.

 
At 9/24/2011 1:22 PM, Blogger Larry G said...

what! that's what they did LAST TIME!

Memo to Right Wing:

nominate your best right wing guy so Obama can win.....

 
At 9/24/2011 1:28 PM, OpenID Sprewell said...

reprise8, actually the Republicans shook up their nomination process this year, a great change in my opinion, so the nominee will not be decided till April this time, unlike 2008 when McCain pretty much wrapped it up in Florida.

 
At 9/24/2011 1:29 PM, Blogger Seth said...

Larry G - I think the basic problem with both parties is that the left wing has pulled and tugged the independent voters to the left with them.

 
At 9/24/2011 1:36 PM, Blogger Larry G said...

yup.. there's still yet hope that Perry will have a come-back!

;-)

 
At 9/24/2011 1:37 PM, Blogger Larry G said...

" I think the basic problem with both parties is that the left wing has pulled and tugged the independent voters to the left with them. "

yeah...but they don't take out the DINOs and execute them...

;-0

 
At 9/24/2011 2:44 PM, Blogger juandos said...

What is this? Rise of the R.I.N.O. again?

"the basic problem with the Republican party these days is that the core of the part is far, far to the right of many independent voters"....

I do believe that's yet another load of B.S. courtesy of a usual donor...

Via Rasmussen Reports: The good news for Republicans is that “conservative” is still the best political label you can put on a candidate for public office as far as voters are concerned. “Liberal” remains the most unpopular political label which helps explain why most liberals now call themselves “progressives.”

 
At 9/24/2011 4:20 PM, Blogger Bobby Caygeon said...

Talk about a winning narrative this whole "right wing" extremism thing. This country identifies as a strong majority conservative country. The D party, in its form right now and with the people in their leadership, are FAR further from the "centrist" than any conservative. Obama, Biden, Pelosi, Reid, Frank, Waxmen,Boxer, et al are FAR from the middle. This narrative is only designed as a feint to keep the independent from figuring out how far to the left the D base has moved.

I am not a huge fan of Romney but at this point this country needs someone with the ability to understand economics and can successfully leverage the private sector.

 
At 9/24/2011 4:48 PM, Blogger juandos said...

"I am not a huge fan of Romney but at this point this country needs someone with the ability to understand economics and can successfully leverage the private sector"...

Sadly RomneyCare proved that your boy Mitt might not be up to the task...

 
At 9/24/2011 7:59 PM, Blogger Buddy R Pacifico said...

Herman Cain wins Florida Repulican straw poll.

Herman Cain seems to have won with a message of reforming the tax code. "9-9-9". Nine percent national sales, income and corporate taxes. Hmmm?

 
At 9/25/2011 2:18 AM, Blogger Ron H. said...

"Sadly RomneyCare proved that your boy Mitt might not be up to the task..."

And he still defends it. Unless he's willing to plead "youthful indiscretion", or some such excuse, he may have big trouble.

(imagine catchy music playing)

" /Please forget my past /
The future looks bright ahead/
Don't be cruel..."

 

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